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DATA DETECTIVE
16 August 2010 Last Release
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Next Release
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Tracking New Zealand Economic Statistics
Economic Measure
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Period
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Result
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Interest Rate Impact Actual
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Next Release Date
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Forecast
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Interest Rate Impact
Forecast
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High Importance - Quarterly
|
|
1
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Real GDP, s.a.
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Q1
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0.6% (-0.4% Ann. Avg)
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Æ
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23 Sep
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0.5%
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È
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2
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CPI Inflation
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Q2
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0.3% (1.8% YoY)
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È
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18 Oct
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1.1% [prelim]
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Æ
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3
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Unemployment Rate, s.a.
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Q2
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6.8%
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È
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4 Nov
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TBA
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Æ
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4
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Employment Growth, s.a.
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Q2
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-0.3% (0.0% YoY)
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Æ
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4 Nov
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TBA
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Æ
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5
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Westpac Consumer Confidence Index
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Q2
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119.3
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Æ
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Late Sep
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113.5
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Æ
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6
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Labour Cost Index, Private Sector
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Q2
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0.4%
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Æ
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2 Nov
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0.5%
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Æ
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7
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NZIER QSBO Business Confidence
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Q2
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18%
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Æ
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Early Oct
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13%
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Æ
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8
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NZIER QSBO Capacity Utilisation
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Q2
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90.8%
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Æ
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Early Oct
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91.3%
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Ç
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|
9
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Monetary Policy Statement / OCR Review
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Jul
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3.00%
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Æ
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16 Sep
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3.25%
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Ç
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Monthly
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|
|
|
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|
10
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Retail Sales, s.a.
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Jun
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0.9%
(3.1% YoY)
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Ç
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14 Sep
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TBA
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Æ
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|
11
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Building Consents, ex apt. (Annual)
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Jun
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25.8%
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Æ
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31 Aug
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30.7%
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Æ
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12
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Housing Credit Growth, RBNZ (Annual)
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Jun
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2.8%
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Æ
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30 Aug
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2.8%
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Æ
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13
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Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
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Jul
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115.6
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È
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Late Aug
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112.0
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Æ
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14
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REINZ Median House Prices (Annual)
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Jun
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3.5%
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Æ
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Mid Aug
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3.2%
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Æ
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|
15
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Credit Card Billings, RBNZ (Annual) s.a.
|
Jun
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4.5%
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Æ
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20 Aug
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3.8%
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Æ
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|
16
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Net Migration (Annual)
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Jun
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16,504
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Æ
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20 Aug
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13,830
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Æ
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17
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NBNZ Business Survey Firms own Activity
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Jul
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32.4
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Æ
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30 Aug
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27.5
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È
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18
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NBNZ Business Survey Inflation Expectation
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Jul
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3.17
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Æ
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30 Aug
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3.35
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Ç
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19
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NBNZ Business Survey Pricing Intentions
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Jul
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31.4
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Æ
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30 Aug
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35.0
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Æ
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|
20
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ANZ World Commodity Prices
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Jul
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-0.8%
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Æ
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Early Sep
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-2.5%
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Æ
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21
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PMI Manufacturing Confidence Index, s.a.
|
Jul
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49.9
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Æ
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Mid Sep
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TBA
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Æ
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22
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Govt. Fiscal Balance** bn (11mth end -YTD)
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May
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-NZD4.7
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Æ
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Oct
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-NZD5.3
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Æ
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Market Indicators
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23
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NZD TWI (Average)
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Jul
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67.28
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Æ
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Aug
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67.40
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Æ
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24
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Oil Prices (Dubai 1 mth) – USD average
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Jul
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73.10
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Æ
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Aug
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73.00
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Æ
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|
25
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US 10 Year Govt. Bond Yields average
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Jul
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2.99%
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È
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Aug
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3.15%
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Ç
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|
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Lower Importance –Quarterly
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|
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2Ç 4È 19Æ
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4Ç 2È 19Æ
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1
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Westpac Employment Confidence Index
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Q2
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108.2
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Æ
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Early Oct
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110.0
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Æ
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2
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PPI Input Inflation
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Q1
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1.3%
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Æ
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19 Aug
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1.8%
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Æ
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3
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PPI Output Inflation
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Q1
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1.8%
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Æ
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19 Aug
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1.5%
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Æ
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4
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Current Account Balance (Annual) bn
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Q1
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-NZD3.1
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Æ
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Late Sep
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-NZD3.5
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Æ
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5
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Export/Import Prices – Terms of trade
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Q1
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+5.8%
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Æ
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10 Sep
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+4.5%
|
Æ
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6
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Merchandise Export Volumes, s.a.
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Q1
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3.0%
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Æ
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10 Sep
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2.0%
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Æ
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7
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Merchandise Import Volumes, s.a.
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Q1
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2.8%
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Æ
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10 Sep
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1.5%
|
Æ
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8
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Manufacturing Sales Volumes, s.a.
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Q1
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-2.7%
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Æ
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8 Sep
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1.2%
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Æ
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9
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Wholesale Trade Sales Values, s.a.
|
Q1
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2.3%
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Æ
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7 Sep
|
1.0%
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Æ
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Monthly
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|
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|
10
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NBNZ Business Confidence
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Jul
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27.9
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Æ
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Aug
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25.0
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Æ
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11
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Merchandise Trade Balance (Annual) bn
|
Jun
|
NZD0.64
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Æ
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30 Aug
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NZD0.8
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Ç
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*s.a. denotes seasonally adjusted
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0Ç 0È 11Æ
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1Ç 0È 10Æ
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